"North Korea says it will not retaliate despite 'reckless provocations' from the South, which held live-fire drills on the flashpoint island of Yeonpyeong. The North shelled the island last month after similar drills and had threatened more retaliation this time. But state media quoted the army as saying it was 'not worth reacting. UN Security Council talks ended without a deal on the weekend, reportedly after China refused to agree to a statement critical of its ally, the North.'"
Monday, December 20, 2010
North Korea Folds
Labels:
aggression,
China,
East Asia,
news,
North Korea,
South Korea,
United Nations,
use of force
Liberal Imperialism and Global Security
The Global Security Argument for liberal imperialism holds that imperial policy promotes global security. The combined threats of terrorism and weapons of mass destruction mean that “global security may require that entire regimes be brought forcibly to heel” (37), and that this would entail forcibly removing them from power and replacing them with a democratic government. Purdy advances two arguments against this argument.
First, he claims that liberal empire presupposes the existence of hegemony, a single “dominant superpower,” when in fact the world is rapidly shifting from post-Cold War uni-polarity to economic and military multi-polarity. As Russia regains its military momentum, as China slowly liberalizes, as India continues its massive economic boom, and as the European Union matures, American dominance begins to look less and less stable. In the new multi-polar world, as in the old, respect for the rules of sovereignty have a great deal more practical importance to human welfare than they did during the period of alleged American ascendancy, since no single entity had, nor presently has de facto authority over matters of global security.
Second, he claims that an American policy of unilateral intervention is likely to have perverse incentives for nuclear proliferation. Some states will take such a policy not as a deterrent to seeking nuclear arms, but as a prod. He does not say so, but this claim, if true, would buttress the prior objection, because if and when nuclear proliferation accelerates, the prospects for US hegemony will dissolve more rapidly.
Labels:
America,
China,
democracy,
Europe,
exceptionalism,
imperialism,
India,
institutions,
law,
liberalism,
non-proliferation,
peacekeeping,
Purdy,
Russia,
use of force
Saturday, December 18, 2010
Facebook, Territory, and the Demos
"The reason we think that territorial or historical or national groups ought make decisions together is that, typically if not invariably, the interests of individuals within those groups are affected by the actions and choices of others in that group. Those common reciprocal interests in one another’s actions and choices are what makes those groups appropriate units for collective decisionmaking, at least in a rough-and-ready way. Rough-and-ready, because (as flagged by the recurring qualifier, 'typically if not invariably') the correlation between territoriality or nationality or history and shared interests is far from perfect. Not every person who lives in a given territory is affected by the actions and choices of every other person in that territory; not every person in the territory is affected by every collective decision of the demos constituted on the basis of residence in that territory. Ditto for historical or national groups. Constituting a demos on the basis of shared territory or history or nationality is thus only an approximation to constituting it on the basis of what really matters, which is interlinked interests."
Robert Goodin
"Enfranchising All Affected Interests, and Its Alternatives"
Philosophy & Public Affairs 35/1 (2007), pp. 40-68
Labels:
democracy,
exceptionalism,
Goodin,
law,
participation,
philosophy,
United Nations,
world
Thursday, December 16, 2010
Turkish Military on the Outs?
Jonathan Head
BBC 12.16.2010
BBC 12.16.2010
"A trial of nearly 200 retired and serving military officers has begun near Istanbul. They face charges of plotting to bring down the government of the Islamically rooted Justice and Development Party seven years ago. The alleged conspiracy, one of several being investigated, has divided opinion in Turkey. The armed forces say that the plot was no more than a seminar to discuss hypothetical scenarios. Twenty-eight serving generals or officers of equivalent rank are among those in the dock, and the trial could go on for months... [W]hile the once-powerful armed forces commanders have at times complained about their colleagues being put on trial, the fact that they have done nothing else has convinced many Turks that the era of military intervention in politics is now over."
Liberal Imperialism
Purdy defines imperialism as the view that
(1) states or peoples are politically unequal, and
(2) this inequality can help justify military intervention.
There are two kinds of imperialism. Weak imperialism holds that states are unequal in their ability to represent the will of their peoples. Strong imperialism holds that peoples are unequal in their capacity for self-rule. Weak or strong, liberal imperialism holds that states might justifiably impose democratic political arrangements on foreign peoples in order to render them capable of self-rule. Purdy aims to undermine what he takes to be the three central arguments for liberal imperialism. I'll summarize Purdy's objections to liberal imperialism in subsequent posts; here I will simply outline his gloss of the arguments he will attack. (Names for the arguments are my addition.)
1. The Global Security Argument. Liberal imperialists argue that imperial policy is prudent, because it promotes global security. The combined threats of terrorism and weapons of mass destruction mean that “global security may require that entire regimes be brought forcibly to heel” (37). He does not mention the so-called "Democratic Peace Hypothesis," which suggests that liberal societies tend not to go to war with one another, but presumably he has something like this in mind.
2. The Human Flourishing Argument. Liberal imperialists argue that the promotion of (a specific conception of) human flourishing justifies imperial policy: “Such a consideration begins from an idea of what the most basic and general human interests are, and proposes that the domination of one people by another, at least for a time, may be necessary to achieve them” (37).
3. The Duty of Assistance Argument. Finally, liberal imperialists argue, along deontological lines, that imperial policy may be justified as a means to stop or prevent certain prohibited actions, such as genocide or other severe wrongs. Purdy does not appear to explain why the prohibition of genocide and similar atrocities would help support a specifically liberal imperialism, but presumably such an argument would need to claim that state violations of democratic rights are severe enough in kind to warrant coercive intervention by external force.
Sunday, December 12, 2010
Preventive War
Summary of Whitley Kaufman.
"What's Wrong with Preventive War? The Moral and Legal Basis for the Preventive Use of Force."
Ethics and International Affairs 19/3 (2005) pp. 23-38.
"What's Wrong with Preventive War? The Moral and Legal Basis for the Preventive Use of Force."
Ethics and International Affairs 19/3 (2005) pp. 23-38.
Here Kaufman argues that both commonsense morality and the just war tradition support preventive--and not just preemptive--war. That is, he argues that war against a future, but not yet imminent, threat is morally permissible, but only under the legitimate authorization of the UN Security Council.
Kaufman argues that Just War Theory does not univocally prohibit preventive war--in fact, he claims, a series of reputable philosophers of international relations have supported preventive war, with some caveats. Kaufman cites Augustine, Grotius, Gentilli, Pufendorf, Vattel, and Vitoria as scholars who have supported, in one form or another, the permissibility of preventive war. Modern readers often project their own idealistic, pacifist agendas onto historical just war theorists. Kaufman mentions a resolution passed by the Eastern Division of the American Philosophical Association, an article by Allen Buchanan and Robert Keohane, and an essay by Gary Wills as examples of philosophers who apparently take for granted that the Just War tradition straighforwardly condemns preventive war. While historical scholars were often wary of the potential for abuse of preventive war, Kaufman claims, they were not such staunch opponents of it as modern scholars generally believe.
He disregards consequentialism as capable fof providing a complete moral framework from which to address the question of preventive war. The central argument for preventive war is the same that justifies war in self-defense: "One is entitled by natural law and natural right (within limits, of course) to protect oneself and one's citizens against unjust harm"(Kaufman 28). If war is necessary to avert a future wrong, then it makes no moral difference whether the war happens sooner or later. Thus, if imminence is taken to mean temporal proximity, then future attacks need not be imminent to warrant anticipatory response. If, however, the real worry motivating the importance of temporal proximity is that of epistemic certainty, this provides no principled argument against preventive war either. First, even imminent attacks are not certain, since the attacker could be bluffing, or could simply "change his mind and withdraw." Second, says Kaufman, "one can surely be reasonably certain (at least in some cases) that the attack is forthcoming even before the moment of imminence"(Kaufman 30).
Next, he persues an argument from analogy between domestic coercion and the international use of force. Preventive force is used domestically in restraining orders, prohibitions on carrying weapons, and conspiracy laws. In the context of domestic law, individuals are justified in using force only in self-defense precisely because state coercion tkes care of prevention; if there were no such institutions, individuals would have greater leeway to exercise preventive measures against perceived threats. If international relations, therefore, is similar to a state of nature, then individual states are justified in using preventive force against likely attackers. Of course, the representation of international relations as a state of nature is changed somewhat by the creation of the UN, and Kaufman turns to that next.
Finally, Kaufman argues that the UN's authority, and specifically that of the security Council, has assumed the role played by a state government in the domestic analogy: it possesses a monopoly on the use of force, especially the use of preventive and retributive force. Kaufman recognizes that some legal scholars (Glennon, Franck, and Ramsey in particular--see p. 34-36) have questioned the legitimate authority of the UN, and have argued that the UN's recent failure effectively to protect states from aggressors--through the use of preventive force, where necessary--represents a return to the state of nature. It is argued that this, in turn, grants states the moral authority to exercise the preventive use of force. Kaufman responds that the UN Security Council's refusal to use preventive force in recent cases had more to do with the perception that war, in those cases, was not necessary, rather than with a prohibition on preventive war.
Kaufman concludes that while Just War Theory does not prohibit preventive war, the legitimate authority to engage in it rests with the UN Security Council, and not with particular states. The rule of law requires that states submit to the UN's legal authority whether they agree with its judgments or not.
Labels:
authority,
just war theory,
law,
philosophy,
United Nations,
use of force
Saturday, December 11, 2010
The Genderless Capacity to Choose a Life
Martha Nussbaum.
Sex & Social Justice.
Oxford University Press (1999).
Sex & Social Justice.
Oxford University Press (1999).
"Think what real people usually hold in awe: money, power, success, nice clothes, fancy cars, the dignity of kings, the wealth of corporations, the authority of despots of all sorts--and, perhaps most important of all, the authority of custom and tradition. Think what real women frequently hold in awe, or at least in fear: the physical power of men, the authority of men in the workplace, the sexual allure of male power, the alleged maleness of the deity, the control males have over work and shelter and food. The liberal holds none of these things in awe. She feels reverence for the world, its mystery and its wonder. And she reveres the capacity of persons to choose and fashion a life. That capacity has no gender, so the liberal does not revere established distinctions of gender any more than the dazzling equipment of kings. Some liberal thinkers have in fact revered established distinctions in gender. But, insofar as they did, they did not follow the vision of liberalism far enough. It is the vision of a beautiful, rich, and difficult world, in which a community of persons regard one another as free and equal but also as finite and needy--and therefore strive to arrange their relations on terms of justice and liberty. In a world governed by hierarchies of power and fashion, this is still, as it was from the first, a radical vision, a vision that can and should lead to revolution. It is always radical to make the demand to see and to be seen as a human rather than as someone's lord or someone's subject. I believe it is best for women to embrace this vision and make this demand." (79-80)
United Russia
Clifford J. Levy
NYT 12.11.2010
NYT 12.11.2010
"Local officials even emblazoned logos of the governing party, United Russia, on city bulldozers to give the party, not the government, credit for fixing roads. On Election Day, hundreds of soldiers from a military garrison were marched to a polling place and ordered to vote for United Russia, according to nonpartisan voting monitors. It was as if the governing party and the government had merged, just as in the Communist era. And in many ways, they have. United Russia effectively controls regional governments, prosecutor’s offices, courts, police departments and election commissions."
Friday, December 10, 2010
The Neoconservative Moment
Summary: Francis Fukuyama
"The Neoconservative Moment"
The Right War? The Conservative Debate on Iraq.
Cambridge University Press (2005). pp. 170-85.
In "The Neoconservative Moment," Francis Fukuyama argues that Charles Krauthammer's "democratic globalism" brand of neoconservativism is too realist and too idealist by turns. Democratic globalists, according to Krauthammer, believe that American military supremacy should be used to "support U.S. security interests and democracy simultaneously."
"The Neoconservative Moment"
The Right War? The Conservative Debate on Iraq.
Cambridge University Press (2005). pp. 170-85.
In "The Neoconservative Moment," Francis Fukuyama argues that Charles Krauthammer's "democratic globalism" brand of neoconservativism is too realist and too idealist by turns. Democratic globalists, according to Krauthammer, believe that American military supremacy should be used to "support U.S. security interests and democracy simultaneously."
Fukuyama argues that Iraq was hardly a strategic threat, even less a global, existential threat to freedom. But even if it had been it was clear from the beginning that neither the nature of Iraqi society nor the United States' past experience with regime change lent themselves well to the prospects of success. Finally, Fukuyama argues that democratic globalism fails to appreciate the value of legitimacy, and overlooks the fact that many of our allies "did not trust us...to use our huge margin of power wisely and in the interests of the world as a whole." The US can no longer count on post facto legitimacy as it did during the Cold War, when the Soviet Union was a competing power, and the United States and its allies agreed that frequent demonstrations of resolve, in the form of military action, could be beneficial.
Focus now is on the Middle East, and a pre-emptively and frequently intervening superpower is as unlikely to coax the Arab world into democracy as force is unlikely to drag them into it. Fukuyama advocates a gentler, more multilateral brand of democratic globalism: reinstate diplomacy and coalition-building, promote democracy “through all of the available tools,” be more realistic about our abilities, be better prepared for nation-building when the need arises, and build institutions. Whether this can be called ‘neoconservativism,’ Fukuyama does not know.
Labels:
America,
Cold War,
democracy,
exceptionalism,
Fukuyama,
human rights,
institutions,
Iraq,
Krauthammer,
law,
legitimacy,
neoconservativism,
summaries,
use of force
The Political Economy of Hierarchy
Summary: Gary Miller.
Managerial Dilemmas: The Political Economy of Hierarchy.
Cambridge University Press. 1992.
Introduction, pp. 1-13.
Managerial Dilemmas: The Political Economy of Hierarchy.
Cambridge University Press. 1992.
Introduction, pp. 1-13.
In the Introduction to his Managerial Dilemmas, Gary Miller explains that his main aim in the book is to connect two different literatures on hierarchical organizational control: organizational economics, with its emphasis on incentivizing self-interested employee behavior, on the one hand, and political science and organizational psychology, with their emphasis on organic processes of leadership able to inspire employees to transcend self-interest, on the other. The tools needed to build a "theoretical bridge" between these literatures, Miller maintains, are to be found in modern game theory and political economy.
Organizational economics, rigorous as it is, generates incorrect predictions about the kinds of incentive structures we should expect to find in firms subject to competitive pressures in a free market. This means that “Either competitive market pressures are less likely to discipline hierarchies than economists have imagined, or else there are reasons outside of current economic theory that egalitarian incentive systems are more efficient than those typically prescribed by economists." (7)
Miller will therefore adopt an institutional approach to the political economy of hierarchies, since this has the best potential to explain outcomes produced in contexts with high transaction costs, information asymmetry, inefficient property rights, and multidimensional exchanges involving non-monetary goods like status and services. Following Ronald Coase, institiutional theorists believe that hierarchies allow firms to avoid some of the transaction costs associated with using the price mechanism to coordinate exchange rates: under hierarchy, the employee and employer benefit by allowing the employer to have "broad discretionary authority" over the employee by means of a single contract, rather than negotiating a price for each particular service the worker provides.
This discretionary authority as an important feature of organizational behavior. Ultimately, Miller believes he can explain how authority is established in firms, why these firms exhibit persistent inefficiencies that weaken their ability to solve market failures, and the extent to which managers who inspire cooperation--voluntary deviations from self-interested behavior--can minimize those inefficiencies.
Labels:
anarchism,
authority,
game theory,
institutions,
markets,
Miller,
organization,
political economy
Liu Xiaobo's Nobel Peace Prize
Bjoern Amland
AP 12.10.2010
AP 12.10.2010
"China was infuriated when the prestigious prize was awarded to the 54-year-old literary critic, who is serving an 11-year prison sentence on subversion charges brought after he co-authored a bold call for sweeping changes to Beijing's one-party communist political system. Beijing described the award as an attack on its political and legal system and has placed Liu's supporters, including his wife Liu Xia, under house arrest to prevent anyone from picking up his prize. On Friday, uniformed and plainclothes officers guarded the entrance to the compound in central Beijing where Liu Xia has lived since the October announcement that her husband would receive the prize. China also tightened a wide-ranging clampdown on dissidents and blocked some news websites ahead of the awarding ceremony. China has also pressured foreign diplomats to stay away from the Nobel ceremony...17 other countries have declined to attend, including Russia, Pakistan, Iran, Venezuela and Cuba...China warned that attending the ceremony would be seen as a sign of disrespect."
Labels:
China,
civil unrest,
Cuba,
Iran,
legitimacy,
Nobel Prize,
Pakistan,
Russia,
world,
Xiaobo
Hackers and the Information War
Ian Drury
Mail Online 06.12.2010
Mail Online 06.12.2010
"Julian Assange has distributed to fellow hackers an encrypted 'poison pill' of damaging secrets, thought to include details on BP and Guantanamo Bay. He believes the file is his 'insurance' in case he is killed, arrested or the whistleblowing website is removed permanently from the internet. Mr Assange - understood to be lying low in Britain - could be arrested by Scotland Yard officers as early as tomorrow... Mr Assange, a reclusive Australian, has infuriated and embarrassed the U.S. in recent months by releasing hundreds of thousands of classified documents."
Labels:
America,
anarchism,
civil unrest,
coercion,
espionage,
information,
technology
Thursday, December 9, 2010
The Security Council and the Cold War
Summary: Christine Gray.
International Law and the Use of Force.
Oxford University Press (2004).
Chapter 7: "The UN and the Use of Force," pp. 195-205.
But that vision of global governance never came to pass. First, the UN was unable to levy troops or commandeer resources the way Article 43 said it should be able to. And second, the Soviet Union and the United States alternately used their veto powers to prevent the Security Council from authorizing interventions, effectively paralyzing it throughout the Cold War. Despite having been derailed by non-compliance with Article 43 and by superpower gridlock during the Cold War, in 1988 the Security Council again began to authorize interventions. But in them meantime, the General Assembly co-opted the authority to authorize interventions itself, giving rise to a practice now called 'peacekeeping', and started issuing recommendations to the Security Council on matters actively under its consideration.
International Law and the Use of Force.
Oxford University Press (2004).
Chapter 7: "The UN and the Use of Force," pp. 195-205.
The UN Security Council was originally intended to be the locus of sovereignty for a new body of global governance. Made up of five permanent members--Russia, China, the UK, France, and the United States--and ten (?) more members elected for two-year terms, the Security Council was supposed to have direct command over its own armed forces, with which it could intervene, when necessary, to repair breachs of the peace or acts of aggression. Its legal authority is mostly spelled out in Chapter VII of the UN Charter.
But that vision of global governance never came to pass. First, the UN was unable to levy troops or commandeer resources the way Article 43 said it should be able to. And second, the Soviet Union and the United States alternately used their veto powers to prevent the Security Council from authorizing interventions, effectively paralyzing it throughout the Cold War. Despite having been derailed by non-compliance with Article 43 and by superpower gridlock during the Cold War, in 1988 the Security Council again began to authorize interventions. But in them meantime, the General Assembly co-opted the authority to authorize interventions itself, giving rise to a practice now called 'peacekeeping', and started issuing recommendations to the Security Council on matters actively under its consideration.
These actions were in direct violation of Articles 11 and 12 of the UN Charter, yet in spite of the lack of any legal justification, peacekeeping operations are now accepted as legal by all member states. Fifteen instances of peacekeeping occurred during the Cold War, and Gray and others observe that the practice of peacekeeping underwent four distinct stages of development between 1948 and 1988: nascent (1948-56: Middle East, India/Pakistan, North Korea), assertive (1956-67: Suez, Lebanon, Congo, West New Guinea, Yemen, Cyprus, India/Pakistan, Dominican Republic), dormant (1967-73; no interventions), and resurgent (1974-1987: Suez, Golan Heights, Lebanon, Iran-Iraq). This process has greatly eroded the separation of powers between the General Assembly and the Security Council, and in practice the two now appear able to accomplish many of the same political functions.
Immediately following Iraq's invasion of Kuwait on 2 August 1990, the Security Council passed Resolution 660, which declared a breach of international peace and security and demanded that Iraqi troops withdraw. Shortly thereafter, the UN also passed Resolution 678, which authorized 'all necessary means' to uphold Resolution 660, a generally accepted euphemism for the use of force. This was to be a model for subsequent authorizations. [Incidentally, it is Resolution 678 that the UK used to justify its intervention in Iraq in 2003. They claimed that Iraq's violation of the cease-fire agreement reinstated the authorization granted in Resolution 678, which had merely been suspended, not terminated. In any case, Gray claims that "the optimism prevalent at the time of Resolution 678 has since dissipated." (205)]
Labels:
America,
civil unrest,
Cold War,
Iraq,
law,
peace,
peacekeeping,
United Nations,
use of force
Singer's "Animal Liberation"
In “Animal Liberation,” Peter Singer argues that human exploitation of non-human species is a “continuing moral outrage,” because there is no justification for treating the interest of any being which has interests as less morally important than the like interest of a human being. Justice is a matter of treating equals equally, but not all inequalities matter for the relevant conception of equal treatment: for example, we should not think that minor genetic differences between races or sexes should result in different social, civil, or political rights even if those differences were found to correlate to small but measurable differences in average IQ. In short, Singer argues that it would be objectionably speciesist to believe “that we are entitled to treat members of other species in a way which it would be wrong to treat members of our own species,” because the relevant capacity for equal treatment is the capacity to suffer, and the members of many, many animal species have that capacity. He then draws out the implications of this view for current practice: vivisection, animal research, and factory farming are all morally impermissible because they brutally harm animals—animals who, by virtue of their capacity to suffer as we do, are thereby also entitled to the same level of respect and compassion.
Labels:
animal rights,
bioethics,
environment,
Singer,
summaries
Saturday, July 10, 2010
New Evidence on Bosnian War
Marlise Simons
NYT 07.10.2010
NYT 07.10.2010
For their latest raid on the Belgrade home of Gen. Ratko Mladic... investigators found a false wall, missed by earlier searches, hiding a cache so rich that it is still resonating in the Balkans and in the United Nations war crimes tribunal in The Hague that wants to prosecute the fugitive Bosnian Serb commander for genocide. The find — 18 notebooks of General Mladic’s wartime military diaries, 120 sound recordings, cellphone cards, computer memory sticks and a pile of documents — provides some of the most compelling evidence yet of the close, top-level coordination of the Bosnian Serb Army and Serbia, a connection both parties always denied.
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Russian Spies!
Scott Shane & Charlie Savage
NYT 06.29.2010
NYT 06.29.2010
[O]n Monday, federal prosecutors accused 11 people of being part of a Russian espionage ring, living under false names and deep cover in a patient scheme to penetrate what one coded message called American 'policy making circles'... The suspects were directed to gather information on nuclear weapons, American policy toward Iran, C.I.A. leadership, Congressional politics and many other topics, prosecutors say... But the charges did not include espionage, and it was unclear what secrets the suspected spy ring — which included five couples — actually managed to collect. After years of F.B.I. surveillance, investigators decided to make the arrests last weekend, just days after an upbeat visit to President Obama by the Russian president, Dmitri A. Medvedev.
Monday, June 28, 2010
Ethnic Violence in Kyrgystan
Associated Press
Guardian 06.17.2010

Luke Harding
Guardian 06.27.2010
Guardian 06.17.2010
Kyrgyzstan's interim government has accused the country's deposed president, Kurmanbek Bakiyev, of igniting longstanding ethnic tensions by sending gunmen in ski masks to shoot members of both groups. The government, which overthrew Bakiyev in April, also accuses the leader of corruption and says he and his supporters were attempting to damage official control of the south and reassert their control of the Afghan heroin trade in the area. The official death toll on both sides is 189 but the true number appears to be far higher. Many Kyrgyz have been killed but the victims appear to have been predominantly Uzbeks, traditional farmers and traders who speak a distinct but separate Turkic language and have traditionally been more prosperous than the Kyrgyz, who come from a nomadic tradition...A few parts of the south have been all but purged of ethnic Uzbeks. In other areas hundreds who had not fled piled up old cars on the streets, barricading themselves into their neighbourhoods.
Luke Harding
Guardian 06.27.2010
Kyrgyzstan's interim government tonight claimed victory in a controversial referendum, held just two weeks after 2,000 people were killed and tens of thousands were left homeless in ethnic violence. Rosa Otunbayeva, the country's acting leader, said she had won overwhelming support for her plan to create a new parliamentary system... Today's ballot was designed to legitimise the current government and to replace the country's abuse-prone presidential system. The new European-style model is a first in central Asia, which is run by authoritarian "super-presidents". A new government would be formed on 10 July, Otunbayeva said, without a "temporary" tag. But international observers and human rights groups today criticised the timing of the poll, which took place against a backdrop of the worst ethnic violence in central Asia for two decades. They also warned that the vote could exacerbate divisions between the north and south of the country and hasten its break-up, or lead to civil war.
Labels:
Central Asia,
civil unrest,
civil war,
ethnic conflict,
human rights,
Kyrgystan
Saturday, June 19, 2010
Turkish Leadership in the Middle East
Elliot Hen-Tov & Bernard Haykel
NYT 06.18.2010
NYT 06.18.2010
Iran paradoxically stands to lose much influence as Turkey assumes a surprising new role as the modern, democratic and internationally respected nation willing to take on Israel and oppose America... Turkey’s Islamist government has distilled every last bit of political benefit from the flotilla crisis, domestically and internationally. And if the Gaza blockade is abandoned or loosened, it will be easily portrayed as a victory for Turkish engagement on behalf of the Palestinians... For Americans, it may be hard to see the blessings in a rift with a longtime ally. But even if Turkey’s interests no longer fully align with ours, there is much to be gained from a Westernized, prosperous and democratic nation becoming the standard-bearer of the Islamic world.
Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Let's See You Build a Working ICBM
John Sudworth
BBC 05.12.2010:
BBC 05.12.2010:
The dream of overcoming the huge technical challenges to make nuclear fusion commercially viable has so far eluded scientists in Europe, America and China, but they continue to try because the prize is so great: a cheap and abundant source of energy with little environmental impact. North Korea's claim that it has completed the fundamental research, putting the technology within its grasp, will be dismissed as highly unlikely unless concrete evidence is produced.
Labels:
IAEA,
non-proliferation,
North Korea,
nuclear energy
Tuesday, May 11, 2010
US and Russia: Nuclear BFF
BBC 05.10.2010
US President Barack Obama has revived a civilian nuclear energy pact with Moscow, which was shelved in the wake of Russia's 2008 conflict with Georgia... The agreement would allow the transfer of technology and equipment, including reactors... In his letter to Congress, Mr Obama said: "The level and scope of US-Russia co-operation on Iran are sufficient to justify resubmitting the proposed agreement to the Congress..." The pact had been signed in 2007 by Mr Bush and Vladimir Putin, who was Russian president at the time. But the conflict in Georgia meant the deal was never put to a Senate vote.
Sunday, May 9, 2010
Exxon, Redeem Thyself
Jad Mouawad
NYT 05.08.2010:
NYT 05.08.2010:
The oil industry is inherently more dangerous than many other industries, and oil companies, including BP, strive to reduce accidents and improve safety. But BP, the nation’s biggest oil and gas producer, has a worse health, environment and safety record than many other major oil companies... The industry standard for safety, analysts say, is set by Exxon Mobil, which displays an obsessive attention to detail... Analysts credit that focus, in part, to the aftermath of the 1989 Exxon Valdez grounding, which spilled 11 million gallons of crude oil into Prince William Sound in Alaska. “Whatever you think of them, Exxon is now the safest oil company there is,” said Amy Myers Jaffe, an energy expert at Rice University.
Your Human Right to Democracy
The Universal Declaration of Human Rights:
Article 21.
- Everyone has the right to take part in the government of his country, directly or through freely chosen representatives.
- Everyone has the right of equal access to public service in his country.
- The will of the people shall be the basis of the authority of government; this will shall be expressed in periodic and genuine elections which shall be by universal and equal suffrage and shall be held by secret vote or by equivalent free voting procedures.
Wednesday, May 5, 2010
US Contributions to Humanitarian Law
Laura Dickinson
Military Lawyers on the Battlefield (AJIL):
Military Lawyers on the Battlefield (AJIL):
The U.S. military has a long tradition of at least formal respect for the rule of law and the limits that the law of war places on soldiers. As far back as the U.S. Civil War, the U.S. Army published the Instructions for the Government of Armies of the United States in the Field of 1863, known as the Lieber Code. The code set forth rules of conduct for U.S. military personnel that included limits on the use of force against civilians and requirements that detainees be treated humanely... Indeed, the Lieber Code helped spawn the branch of international humanitarian law that governs the law of hostilities, commonly known as Hague law. Following the Civil War, the U.S. Armed Forces embraced a culture of respect for law. The United States also played an active role in furthering the evolution of international humanitarian law from the Civil War to the period after World War II, which culminated in the adoption of the four Geneva Conventions in 1949 and the enactment of the Uniform Code of Military Justice (U.C.M.J.).
Hampton on Authority
Jean Hampton
Political Philosophy, p. 5:
Political Philosophy, p. 5:
To summarize, we can define political authority along the lines suggested by one recent philosopher [Joseph Raz] as follows:
Person x has political authority over person y if and only if the fact that x requires y to perform some action p gives y a reason to do p, regardless of what p is, where this reason purports to override all (or almost all) reasons he may have not to do p.
Stop or I'll Secure Compliance
Buchanan & Keohane
'The Legitimacy of Global Governance Institutions':
'The Legitimacy of Global Governance Institutions':
Legitimacy has both a normative and a sociological meaning. To say that an institution is legitimate in the normative sense is to assert that is has the right to rule--where ruling includes promulgating rules and attempting to secure compliance with them by attaching costs to non-compliance and/or benefits to compliance. An institution is legitimate in the sociological sense when it is widely believed to have the right to rule.
Abizadeh, 'On Coercion'
Arash Abizadeh
(Political Theory 36/1):
(Political Theory 36/1):
P’s threat subjects Q to coercion only if
But P’s threat actually coerces Q’s (in)action only if two further conditions are met as well:
- P communicates to Q his intention to cause outcome X if Q undertakes action A.
- Q believes that X ∩ A is worse for her than (⌐X) ∩ (⌐A),’ such that X provides Q a reason not to do A.
- P’s reason for threatening X is his belief that X provides Q a reason not to do A.
- Q believes that P has the capacity to cause X and intends to do so if Q does A.
- Q does not do A.
- Part of Q’s reason for not doing A is to avoid X.
Deepwater Horizon
Wikipedia:
An explosion on the Deepwater Horizon offshore drilling rig, operating in the Gulf of Mexico off the coast of Louisiana, on April 20, 2010, resulted in a fire that sank the rig and caused a massive-scale oil spill. Eleven rig workers are currently missing and presumed dead, the explosion also injured 17 others. The oil spill covers a surface area of at least 2,500 square miles (6,500 km2) according to estimates reported on May 3, 2010 by CNBC. The oil spill, originating from a deepwater oil well 5,000 feet (1,500 m) below sea level, is currently discharging an estimated 5–25 thousand barrels (210,000–1,100,000 US gallons; 790,000–4,000,000 litres) of crude oil daily. The spill is expected to eclipse the 1989 Exxon Valdez oil spill as the worst US oil disaster in history.
Pirates of the Aden Gulf
See also.
BBC 5.5.2010:
A Russian warship is rushing to assist an oil tanker which has been hijacked by Somali pirates off East Africa. The Marshal Shaposhnikov was heading to assist the Moscow University, which was attacked 500 miles (800km) off the Somali coast... Shots were fired at the 96,000-tonne tanker from two speedboats... The 23 Russian crew on board are reported to have locked themselves in the ship's radar room.
Philosophical Anarchism
A. John Simmons
Wellman & Simmons, Is There a Duty to Obey the Law?
Wellman & Simmons, Is There a Duty to Obey the Law?
The conclusion to which those arguments point...is that there is (for most persons in most states) no moral duty to obey the law. This is the position commonly referred to as philosophical anarchism. Most nontheorists, I've suggested, are probably initially disinclined to accept such a conclusion, perhaps because they think it implies that legal disobedience is routinely or always morally justifiable. And in one technical sense this is correct. If "disobedience" means literally "not obeying the law"--that is, not doing what the law commands because the law commands it--then the denial of a duty to obey does in fact entail that disobedience... is normally justified. But if by "legal disobedience"we mean simply "not performing the act (or forbearance) identified by the law as obligatory," then nothing so dramatic about the moral justification for disobedience to law in fact follows from my conclusion.
State of Peace
The Global Peace Index methodology uses 23 measures of peace:
Measures of Ongoing Domestic & Intl Conflict
Measures of Ongoing Domestic & Intl Conflict
- Number of external and internal conflicts fought: 2002-07
- Estimated number of deaths from organized conflict (external)
- Number of deaths from organized conflict (internal)
- Level of organized conflict (internal)
- Relations with neighbouring countries
- Perceptions of criminality in society
- Number of displaced people as a percentage of the population
- Political instability
- Level of disrespect for human rights (Political Terror Scale)
- Potential for terrorist acts
- Number of homicides per 100,000 people
- Level of violent crime
- Likelihood of violent demonstrations
- Number of jailed population per 100,000 people
- Number of internal security officers and police per 100,000 people
- Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP
- Number of armed services personnel per 100,000 people
- Volume of transfers (imports) of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people
- Volume of transfers (exports) of major conventional weapons per 100,000 people
- Funding for UN peacekeeping missions: outstanding contributions versus annual assessment to the budget of the current peacekeeping missions
- Aggregate number of heavy weapons per 100,000 people
- Ease of access to small arms and light weapons
- Military capability/sophistication
The Security Council Rules the World
UN Charter
Chapter VII, Articles 39-42:
Chapter VII, Articles 39-42:
Article 39
The Security Council shall determine the existence of any threat to the peace, breach of the peace, or act of aggression and shall make recommendations, or decide what measures shall be taken in accordance with Articles 41 and 42, to maintain or restore international peace and security.
Article 40
In order to prevent an aggravation of the situation, the Security Council may, before making the recommendations or deciding upon the measures provided for in Article 39, call upon the parties concerned to comply with such provisional measures as it deems necessary or desirable. Such provisional measures shall be without prejudice to the rights, claims, or position of the parties concerned. The Security Council shall duly take account of failure to comply with such provisional measures.
Article 41
The Security Council may decide what measures not involving the use of armed force are to be employed to give effect to its decisions, and it may call upon the Members of the United Nations to apply such measures. These may include complete or partial interruption of economic relations and of rail, sea, air, postal, telegraphic, radio, and other means of communication, and the severance of diplomatic relations.
Article 42
Should the Security Council consider that measures provided for in Article 41 would be inadequate or have proved to be inadequate, it may take such action by air, sea, or land forces as may be necessary to maintain or restore international peace and security. Such action may include demonstrations, blockade, and other operations by air, sea, or land forces of Members of the United Nations.
American Exceptionalism
Christine Gray
International Law and the Use of Force (Oxford 2004):
International Law and the Use of Force (Oxford 2004):
It remains to be seen how far the USA is deliberately posing a challenge to the whole UN system and the existing international legal order, or whether it is operating within the system, even if manipulating the rules for its own ends. The apparently cynical manipulation of legal rules is nothing new; disingenuous rhetoric is certainly not unique to the international legal system. Thus the question arises whether US lip service to international law on the use of force is meaningless or to be welcomed as indicating continued adherence to the Charter system? Or is the US actually claiming special rights exercisable only by it as the only remaining super power?
Tuesday, May 4, 2010
Commission for Honduran Coup
BBC 5.4.2010:
A commission has begun investigating last year's military-backed overthrow of Honduran President Manuel Zelaya. It was set up by newly-elected President Porfirio Lobo in an attempt to restore some of the country's international standing.
Greek Anti-Austerity Measures
BBC 5.4.2010:
Greek public sector workers have stormed the Acropolis and scuffled with riot police after launching a 48-hour strike against austerity measures... Their action comes ahead of a nationwide general strike on Wednesday. The austerity measures were outlined in a draft bill submitted to the Greek parliament and will be voted on by the end of the week. They have been introduced in return for a 110bn euro (£95bn) international rescue package agreed for the country. The measures include wage freezes, pension cuts and tax rises. They aim to achieve fresh budget cuts of 30bn euros over three years, with the goal of cutting Greece's public deficit to less than 3% of GDP by 2014. It currently stands at 13.6%. Union leaders say the cuts target low-income Greeks.
Labels:
civil unrest,
economic collapse,
foreign aid,
Greece
Iran's Plan for Regional Power
Mohsen Milani
Tehran's Take: Understanding Iran's US Policy (Foreign Affairs 88/4):
Tehran's Take: Understanding Iran's US Policy (Foreign Affairs 88/4):
Tehran's foreign policy has its own strategic logic. Formulated not by mad mullahs but by calculating ayatollahs, it is based on Iran's ambitions and Tehran's perception of what threatens them. Tehran's top priority is the survival of the Islamic Republic as it exists now. Tehran views the United States as an existential threat and to counter it has devised a strategy that rests on both deterrence and competition in the Middle East.
Monday, May 3, 2010
Hillary Clinton v. Iran
US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (BBC 5.4.2010):
Iran will do whatever it can to divert attention away from its own record in an attempt to evade accountability... Iran is the only country represented in this hall that has been found by the [International Atomic Energy Agency] board of governors to be currently in non-compliance with its nuclear safeguard obligations... It has defied the UN Security Council and the IAEA and placed the future of the non-proliferation regime in jeopardy, and that is why it is facing increasing isolation and pressure from the international community.
Labels:
Clinton,
IAEA,
Iran,
Middle East,
non-proliferation,
United Nations
Non-proliferation: Competing Aims
Paul Reynolds
BBC 5.3.2010:
BBC 5.3.2010:
Among the competing aims are these:
- The United States and its allies want much tougher inspections of all states signed up to the NPT and penalties for those (like North Korea in 2003) which leave it.
- Non-aligned members are calling for a plan of action to implement the vision of worldwide nuclear disarmament laid out in the treaty, which was opened for signature in 1968.
- Some Middle East countries are calling for action to set up a nuclear-weapons-free zone in the Middle East.
- Iran's determination to continue enriching uranium against the orders of the UN Security Council is likely to dominate the opening session of the conference, with an appearance by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.
Labels:
America,
Iran,
Middle East,
non-proliferation,
North Korea
Sudan's Resource Curse
NYT 5.3.2010
One year after the International Criminal Court accused Sudan's president, Omar Hassan al-Bashir, of war crimes for the genocidal rampage in Darfur, he was re-elected in a blatantly manipulated election. Mr. Bashir has no legitimacy and he must stand trial for his crimes. But those facts must not divert the world's attention from another potential crisis: the very real danger of renewed civil war between Arab Muslim northern Sudan and the south, which is largely Christian and animist. The last conflict — from 1983 to 2005 — left about two million people dead. Under a United States-backed peace agreement, the semi-autonomous southern region will hold a referendum in January to decide its future. Voters are expected to choose independence. Leaders in both the north and the south pledged to respect the results. But there is so much oil involved that they can't be depended on to keep their word — without strong encouragement from the United States and other major players.
Myanmar to Hold 'Elections'
NYT 5.3.10
Under a new Constitution adopted in 2008, the military that has ruled Myanmar, formerly Burma, since 1962 is preparing to replace itself with a civilian government that includes a 440-member House of Representatives...The new legislature will set aside 25 percent of its seats for serving military officers, a number that could be augmented by former officers in civilian clothes...Many foreign analysts, as well as Myanmar's opposition party, the National League for Democracy, have called the elections a false front intended to put a civilian face on the military's continued grip on power.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)